Saturday, November 28, 2009

Why it matters who is in office.

Some say it matters little whether Republicans or Democrats are in power. Both are equally bad (or good). Given the current concern about unemployment (as of November, 2009) I thought I would take a look at how unemployment fared during Republican and Democratic regimes. The results are stunningly consistent. Unemployment always goes up during Republican regimes and down during Democratic regimes. So when it comes to unemployment, the data suggest that it is always unwise to vote in Republican regimes (that is, assuming one considers unemployment a bad thing). It is always better to have a Democratic regime, unemployment-wise, no matter who that Democrat is. The chart below shows why.


Note that when the blue "regime" line is high (Democratic regime) unemployment always is lower at the end of the regime than at the start; when the "regime" line is low (Republican regime) unemployment is always higher at the end of the regime than at the start.I can't help but think that this has something to do with Republican versus Democratic policies, but, then, correlation doesn't imply causality; it could just be that Republicans have real bad luck.